$DOGE, $XRP, and $SOL lead the decline. Is the altcoin season coming to an end? Don't rush to conclusions; this could be the start of the second half.
➤ After a night of pullback, the market atmosphere has changed.
Yesterday, the altcoin sector suddenly cooled down:
◼️ $DOGE plummeted nearly 9%
◼️ $XRP dropped over 6.7%
◼️ $SOL fell below $185, with a 24h decline of 6.5%
Many people's first reaction is: "It's over, is the altcoin season finished?"
But looking at the data and structure, things may not be that simple.
➤ Why are altcoins leading the decline? Behind it is the invisible tether of $BTC.
The trigger for this round of decline actually came from $BTC.
Bitcoin briefly fell below $66,000, causing a collapse in overall sentiment for altcoins. But the key point is that altcoins are still too highly correlated with $BTC, especially during times of tight liquidity.
This is the risk point that most people are unaware of:
🔹 You buy $ARB, $DOGE, $LINK,
🔹 But your fate depends on the whims of $BTC and ETFs.
➤ So why is this not the end of the altcoin season, but rather a high-intensity breath?
We see three very critical phenomena:
1. The ETH/BTC trading pair is still slowly rising.
If the altcoin tide were truly receding, $ETH would have collapsed first; now it is still holding at $3,700, indicating that funds have not completely fled.
2. Capital rotation remains active.
For example, $LINK, $TON, and $LDO actually saw inflows before the decline, indicating that the retreat is not a one-size-fits-all but rather a rotation of hotspots.
3. Open Interest has not shown a cliff.
According to CoinGlass data, the overall open contracts have not significantly decreased; the market is still observing, not in a panic exit.
The Altcoin Season Index is currently still around 45, not yet entering a full altcoin season, but there have been multiple rounds of local explosions within the sector, which feels more like a preheating phase for the altcoin season, and it is a good time to position early and select the main players.
➤ Key point: What you see is a price drop, but you might overlook the ecological switch.
If you are an old player, you should be thinking:
✅ Which coins are oversold?
✅ Which coins are just liquidated after rising too much?
Conversely, you can also think: Are there any coins that originally had no value but are just being hyped? For example, some Meme coins and unproven AI concept coins.
The altcoin season is not about a universal surge but rather a rotation with selection logic.
➤ A bit of advice from me:
1. If you are holding altcoins that are already in profit: consider adjusting your positions moderately, swapping high volatility for high certainty.
2. If you are hesitating whether to enter: you can wait a bit longer to see if $BTC can stabilize above $116k and if $ETH continues to attract capital.
Most importantly, do not treat a pullback as the end.
➤ Conclusion: The fluctuations of $DOGE, $XRP, and $SOL are not the endpoint; rather, they may be the beginning of a new selection cycle.
The altcoin season has not ended; it is just redefining the main players.
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