The market has been consolidating at a high level for nearly a month. With Trump's recent tariff announcement, we are seeing a downward trend. Looking at historical data, August and September are the months with the highest probability of $BTC declines, and it's also a time when U.S. stock traders take a break. However, as long as we get through this period, October and November are typically the months with the largest increases, averaging +21.89% and +46.02% in gains, respectively. Even if this wave of $BTC pulls back to 100,000, based on historical average returns, it will definitely break through 150,000 in the second half of the year. People are tired of hearing Trump cry wolf every day; it's likely that in a month or so, the tariffs will be postponed again. The Federal Reserve originally planned four rate cuts this year, but none have materialized yet, and Trump is continuously pressuring Powell. Once the Federal Reserve can no longer hold out or the tariff issue with Trump is completely resolved, the pent-up market sentiment will burst forth like a floodgate. At that point, $BTC will not just see a few points of increase; we are likely to witness a true explosive crypto bull market. As for altcoins, currently, the liquidity brought by the rise of Bitcoin is enough to benefit from it. However, as more altcoins emerge, the share of established memes like $pepe is being continuously squeezed. Once Bitcoin stops expanding, altcoins will likely suffer a significant drop.